The unknown of which party the holidays will affect the most on 23J: the key will be Madrid

  • On the same weekend of 2022, there were 2 million people more than 300 kilometers from their residence, almost half from Madrid

  • We analyze the mobility data produced by the technological Nommon

  • Participation is always key, but the distance and the need to process the vote by mail can be a distorting factor

Those of 23J are unprecedented elections because never had the factor of distance and vacations weighed so much in the decision to vote of the citizen. The circumstance is also added that in this appointment it is very probable the political change, which is what has driven the highest participation data of our electoral history. What will happen on 23J? Will the holidays affect the mobilization? Will it do so more in some regions than others? And that can condition the electoral result?

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